Riesgo de contagio de sarampión para un viajero chileno en 2017.
CALCULATING THE RISK OF ACQUIRING MEASLES OF CHILEANS TRAVELING ABROAD
Author
Canals, Mauricio; Programa de Salud Ambiental. Escuela de Salud Pública y Departamento de Medicina. Facultad de Medicina. Universidad de Chile.
Rojas, Camila; DIPRECE. Ministerio de Salud
Avendaño, Luis Fidel; Programa de Virología. ICBM. Facultad de Medicina. Universidad de Chile
Abstract
Background: There is always a risk of importing infectious diseases when travelling abroad. Aim: To estimate the effective risk of a Chilean of acquiring measles during a travel by countries where measles outbreaks have been reported, considering the present level of immunity in the country. Material and methods: Previously established mathematical models using differential equations were applied to calculate the risk of acquiring measles of people traveling to endemic areas. Results: The probability of acquiring measles of a voyager is 8.11 x 10-8. Conclusions: These estimations help decision making about preventive measures for travelers to endemic measles areas. Background: There is always a risk of importing infectious diseases when travelling abroad. Aim: To estimate the effective risk of a Chilean of acquiring measles during a travel by countries where measles outbreaks have been reported, considering the present level of immunity in the country. Material and methods: Previously established mathematical models using differential equations were applied to calculate the risk of acquiring measles of people traveling to endemic areas. Results: The probability of acquiring measles of a voyager is 8.11 x 10-8. Conclusions: These estimations help decision making about preventive measures for travelers to endemic measles areas.