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dc.creatorRodríguez,Gabriel
dc.creatorTramontana Tocto,Roxana
dc.date2015-12-01
dc.date.accessioned2019-04-25T12:42:05Z
dc.date.available2019-04-25T12:42:05Z
dc.identifierhttps://scielo.conicyt.cl/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0719-04332015000200003
dc.identifier.urihttp://revistaschilenas.uchile.cl/handle/2250/61336
dc.descriptionEmpirical research indicates that the volatility of stock return time series has long memory. However, it has been demonstrated that short memory processes contaminated by random level shifts can often be confused with long memory, a feature often referred to as spurious long memory. This paper represents an empirical study of the random level shift (RLS) model for the volatility of daily stock return data for five Latin American countries. This model consists of the sum of a short term memory component and a level shift component that is governed by a Bernoulli process with a shift probability α. The results suggest that level shifts in the volatility of daily stock return data are infrequent but when taken into account, the long memory characteristic and GARCH effects disappear. An out-of-sample forecasting exercise is also provided.
dc.formattext/html
dc.languageen
dc.publisherPontificia Universidad Católica de Chile. Instituto de Economía.
dc.relation10.7764/LAJE.52.2.185
dc.rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
dc.sourceLatin american journal of economics v.52 n.2 2015
dc.subjectVolatility
dc.subjectlong memory
dc.subjectrandom level shifts
dc.subjectforecasting
dc.subjectLatin America
dc.titleAPPLICATION OF A SHORT MEMORY MODEL WITH RANDOM LEVEL SHIFTS TO THE VOLATILITY OF LATIN AMERICAN STOCK MARKET RETURNS


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