Show simple item record

dc.creatorMEDEL,CARLOS A
dc.creatorSALGADO,SERGIO C
dc.date2013-04-01
dc.date.accessioned2019-05-03T14:02:38Z
dc.date.available2019-05-03T14:02:38Z
dc.identifierhttps://scielo.conicyt.cl/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0718-88702013000100003
dc.identifier.urihttp://revistaschilenas.uchile.cl/handle/2250/89552
dc.descriptionWe test two questions: (i) Is the Bayesian Information Criterion (BIC) more parsimonious thanAkaike Information Criterion (AIC)? and(ii) Is BICbetter than AIC for forecasting purposes? By using simulated data, we provide statistical inference of both hypotheses individually and then jointly with a multiple hypotheses testing procedure to control better for type-I error. Both testing procedures deliver the same result: The BIC shows an in- and out-of-sample superiority over AIC only in a long-sample context.
dc.formattext/html
dc.languageen
dc.publisherILADES. Universidad Alberto Hurtado.
dc.relation10.4067/S0718-88702013000100003
dc.rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
dc.sourceRevista de análisis económico v.28 n.1 2013
dc.subjectAIC
dc.subjectBIC
dc.subjectinformation criteria
dc.subjecttime-series models
dc.subjectoverfitting
dc.subjectforecast comparison
dc.subjectjoint hypothesis testing
dc.titleDOES THE BIC ESTIMATE AND FORECAST BETTER THAN THE AIC?


This item appears in the following Collection(s)

Show simple item record