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Modeling climate change impacts on overwintering of Spodoptera exigua Hübner in regions of China

dc.creatorZheng,Xia-Lin
dc.creatorHuang,Qing-Cheng
dc.creatorCao,Wan-Zheng
dc.creatorLu,Wen
dc.creatorWang,Guo-Quan
dc.creatorYu,Shu-Zhong
dc.creatorYang,Zhen-De
dc.creatorWang,Xiao-Ping
dc.date2015-09-01
dc.date.accessioned2019-04-24T21:20:08Z
dc.date.available2019-04-24T21:20:08Z
dc.identifierhttps://scielo.conicyt.cl/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0718-58392015000400009
dc.identifier.urihttp://revistaschilenas.uchile.cl/handle/2250/56071
dc.descriptionInferential models are usually used to evaluate the effect of winter warming on range expansion of insects. Generally, correlative approaches used to predict changes in the distributions of organisms are based on the assumption that climatic boundaries are fixed. Spodoptera exigua Htibner (Lepidoptera: Noctuidae) overwinters as larvae or pupae in China regions. To understand the climate change impacts on overwintering of this species in regions of China, CLIMEX and Arc-GIS models were used to predict possible changes of distribution based on temperature. The climate change projection clearly indicated that the northern boundary of overwintering for S. exigua will shift northward from current distribution. Thus, the ongoing winter warming is likely to increase the frequency of S. exigua outbreaks.
dc.formattext/html
dc.languageen
dc.publisherInstituto de Investigaciones Agropecuarias, INIA
dc.relation10.4067/S0718-58392015000400009
dc.rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
dc.sourceChilean journal of agricultural research v.75 n.3 2015
dc.subjectGlobal warming
dc.subjectintegrated pest management
dc.subjectoverwintering regions
dc.subjectpopulation density
dc.subjectrange distribution
dc.titleModeling climate change impacts on overwintering of Spodoptera exigua Hübner in regions of China


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